MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf18ed0fbe21821037e5354edeb98607497bdce3d6e1007ab3bdd546409df090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 41c | 8,608$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.07 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 63c | 5,523$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.16 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Mariners | 73c | 4,254$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.26 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed White Sox | 12c | 3,769$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 42c | 2,820$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed White Sox | 21c | 2,474$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.65 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mariners | 65c | 2,316$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.05 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox | 43c | 2,180$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.23 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mariners | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox | 13c | 1,617$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 27c | 1,540$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 64c | 1,332$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 60c | 1,052$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.89 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed White Sox | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Mariners | 60c | 786.3$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.52 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed White Sox | 40c | 751.71$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 40c | 746.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.54 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 58c | 710.34$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.34 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff4…2224backed Mariners | 80c | 653.73$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Mariners | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Mariners | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…286bbacked Mariners | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mariners | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 69c | 468.88$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…6f78backed White Sox | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Mariners | 61c | 360.37$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Mariners | 59c | 352.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.35 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox | 12c | 350$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Mariners | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 57c | 262.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Mariners | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Mariners | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 43c | 164$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed White Sox | 42c | 153.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed White Sox | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked White Sox | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Mariners | 59c | 101.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 60c | 101.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Mariners | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Mariners | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Mariners | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked White Sox | 43c | 96.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Mariners | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Mariners | 57c | 85.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 59c | 74.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed White Sox | 38c | 74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Mariners | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Mariners | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked White Sox | 40c | 66.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mariners | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb05…4d1dbacked Mariners | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked White Sox | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…11c3backed Mariners | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Mariners | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…ce55backed White Sox | 48c | 49.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 37c | 43.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Mariners | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818e…b787backed Mariners | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3539…b17bbacked Mariners | 43c | 37.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mariners | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Mariners | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8f…7178backed Mariners | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Mariners | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed White Sox | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…33a7backed Mariners | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Mariners | 60c | 26.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…eb53backed Mariners | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…73bbbacked White Sox | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…540ebacked Mariners | 62c | 22.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…1f7cbacked Mariners | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Mariners | 64c | 16.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.