Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf2f90ca9cbebeb70660d14e2b0cc4baf3961791c6f05f5102663f98926c5ac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Yakult Brothers, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 1,910$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.75 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 1,290$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.01 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 1,288$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.17 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 985.85$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.28 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Zero Tenacity | 77c | 853.62$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.62 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 563$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.57 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yakult Brothers | 59c | 563$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.02 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 540.57$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 500$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yakult Brothers | 64c | 419.51$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.93 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 360$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Yakult Brothers | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…9704backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 225$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 221.15$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 209.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed Yakult Brothers | 64c | 208.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 181.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 180.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Yakult Brothers | 62c | 171.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 167.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yakult Brothers | 30c | 161.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 146.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yakult Brothers | 60c | 140.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yakult Brothers | 59c | 113.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 99.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 97.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 87.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…e4abbacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 87.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 75.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…e1f0backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 72.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…b974backed Yakult Brothers | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 69.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 69.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 48.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bb…e889backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 37.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 34.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 33.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 33.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 28.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 26.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 25.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf896…8704backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 22.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…74b7backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 17.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Cthis page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.