Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b97daeffb91dfb366d6f292cb25cc16c5064bbba7a5538843429370fc3bd4e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Yakult Brothers, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa05e…4394backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 17,764$9,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,885.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.94 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 8,295$4,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,636.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 7,218$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.8 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Yakult Brothers | 51c | 6,000$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.25 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 5,481$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.78 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Yakult Brothers | 47c | 3,325$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 2,873$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yakult Brothers | 47c | 2,658$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.19 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 2,600$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.53 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 2,540$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.5 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 2,090$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.5 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Yakult Brothers | 46c | 1,645$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.2 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Yakult Brothers | 54c | 1,470$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 1,247$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.78 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 1,136$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.12 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 1,115$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 1,076$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.18 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Yakult Brothers | 48c | 1,013$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 966.09$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.35 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 920$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 836.16$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.58 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Yakult Brothers | 54c | 764.52$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.44 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 712.2$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.37 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 600$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 467.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 437.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 417$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.63 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 408.7$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Yakult Brothers | 62c | 400$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Yakult Brothers | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 345$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 337.89$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.46 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 329.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Yakult Brothers | 61c | 302$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.22 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yakult Brothers | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 298.96$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 297.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Yakult Brothers | 56c | 241$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 221$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 208.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 207.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Yakult Brothers | 46c | 201.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 197.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…9a49backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 195.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 194.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 178$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 175.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 163.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 163$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…fe2cbacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 161.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…a9c2backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 161.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 155.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Yakult Brothers | 21c | 142.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 139.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 133.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617e…550abacked Yakult Brothers | 9c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 123$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 117.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 116.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…b0e5backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 114.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Yakult Brothers | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 108.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…559ebacked Zero Tenacity | 47c | 100.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 180 | 55.6%100 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…735bbacked Zero Tenacity | 47c | 98.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked Yakult Brothers | 47c | 96.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 94.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yakult Brothers | 55c | 89.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked Yakult Brothers | 47c | 84.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 83.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 82.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…3e17backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 80.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 79.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…f6c5backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 64.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a2…1abdbacked Yakult Brothers | 55c | 62.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 57.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 57.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 54.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yakult Brothers | 56c | 53.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yakult Brothers | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 50.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Yakult Brothers | 46c | 49.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…1388backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 41.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group CZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.