Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa17a388373a008101bf5294854cb7649e819ee43b6b1a1779b60d10d4df7cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6400…331abacked Yes | 50c | 303.49$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.88 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 41c | 292.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.95 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 39c | 286.1$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 246.72$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 42c | 234.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.13 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 40c | 217.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…269cbacked No | 38c | 196.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 44c | 174.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…7f79backed Yes | 64c | 155.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 62c | 151.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…d3e9backed Yes | 64c | 150.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 51c | 138.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 21c | 135.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…af53backed Yes | 39c | 132.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 51c | 131.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 62c | 111.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 40c | 106.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 39c | 103.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed Yes | 60c | 101.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 59c | 99.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 70c | 99.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 48c | 99.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 58c | 99.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 54c | 95.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…039fbacked Yes | 56c | 95.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 59c | 93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 62c | 90.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 28c | 89.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa998…6421backed Yes | 57c | 86.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…dd55backed No | 53c | 85.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…043abacked No | 54c | 77.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…a97bbacked Yes | 62c | 76.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 36c | 69.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…5fb7backed No | 45c | 65.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 65c | 60.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 50c | 58.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…86f4backed Yes | 59c | 57.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 28c | 51.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 26c | 51.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 42c | 48.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 47c | 47.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 56c | 46.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013a…e374backed Yes | 43c | 42.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…f584backed Yes | 58c | 40.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…0927backed Yes | 62c | 38.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7431…be26backed Yes | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 41c | 37.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 47c | 36.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 48c | 36.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…6e24backed No | 54c | 35.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -10.9wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 64c | 34.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 49c | 34.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 73c | 33.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 31.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…0b94backed Yes | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 44c | 30.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…942dbacked No | 39c | 29.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 61c | 29.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 66c | 29.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d56…92e6backed Yes | 47c | 28.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 55c | 28.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 40c | 26.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked Yes | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 56c | 25.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…4ac3backed Yes | 43c | 25.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…ef23backed Yes | 41c | 24.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked No | 42c | 24.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…8a7dbacked Yes | 57c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…8f17backed Yes | 63c | 23.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…2992backed No | 46c | 23.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 54c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed No | 55c | 23.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 52c | 22.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 68c | 19.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4302…8d4fbacked No | 54c | 18.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…3d8bbacked No | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…e888backed Yes | 62c | 16.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.