MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfd12704b755bcf7a7ff0a16765719533dee0148124404da257c22eeba39aac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof SSG Landers, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed SSG Landers | 40c | 2,149$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 59c | 1,723$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.32 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 757.92$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.46 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed SSG Landers | 41c | 679.44$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.17 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed KT Wiz | 63c | 558.89$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.89 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked SSG Landers | 12c | 537.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed SSG Landers | 38c | 391.39$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 38c | 282.28$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 60c | 258.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KT Wiz | 60c | 226.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed SSG Landers | 40c | 207.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KT Wiz | 60c | 196.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 20c | 176.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…7f6cbacked KT Wiz | 63c | 159.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed KT Wiz | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 79c | 102.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed KT Wiz | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed SSG Landers | 42c | 89.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed SSG Landers | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 39c | 76.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked KT Wiz | 58c | 67.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked SSG Landers | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed SSG Landers | 37c | 54.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KT Wiz | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked SSG Landers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KT Wiz | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed KT Wiz | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed KT Wiz | 61c | 49.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…9b6dbacked KT Wiz | 62c | 33.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 60c | 31.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SSG Landers | 38c | 31.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…5039backed KT Wiz | 62c | 31.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SSG Landers | 37c | 29.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked SSG Landers | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef0a…01a2backed SSG Landers | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…072dbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed KT Wiz | 68c | 23.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…7bb6backed KT Wiz | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…d093backed SSG Landers | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…bf3bbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…e2a8backed KT Wiz | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed KT Wiz | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked KT Wiz | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.