TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,770 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over18c2,523$450 inLost-$449.7827837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Over17c628.68$110 inLost-$110825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over24c316.1$76 inLost-$76.1548344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over8c284.65$22 inLost-$21.7992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under68c221.1$150 inWon+$71.13053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over15c155.5$24 inLost-$23.643622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over18c111.06$20 inLost-$19.9973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f21…3bcebacked Over17c79$13 inLost-$13.434725.5%12 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick17cpaid+95.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under77c69.91$54 inWon+$16.1378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.