Mls · resolved market
New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37a4d42f2214f0eda79f76b2cbb42c9bdbfdc3c833fa562807ac0f2bb225f406
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 35c | 10,788$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.7 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 979.55$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.89 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 927.7$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.75 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 65c | 592$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 513.74$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.41 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 65c | 460$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 34c | 443.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 349.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 34c | 299.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 293.19$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 35c | 288.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 267.77$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 65c | 260$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 65c | 260$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 232.63$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 58c | 208.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 199.55$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 65c | 156$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 65c | 156$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 147.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 65c | 129$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 66c | 66.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 67c | 65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 39c | 50.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 36.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 62c | 30.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 62c | 30.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…d524backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…82bcbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 67c | 19.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 62c | 17.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.