Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs ex-Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1338d88b55563582242e580c36a50954a660bdccd90b7e1da394d0931a5acb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Pipsqueak+4of Team Lynx, ex-Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Lynx | 58c | 2,606$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 799.96$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Team Lynx | 60c | 523.33$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Team Lynx | 57c | 399.39$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.42 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…09e3backed Team Lynx | 35c | 311.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 293.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.27 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 76c | 242.74$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 240$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 210.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Lynx | 59c | 205.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 205$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 43c | 190$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 62c | 177.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 172.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Lynx | 58c | 167.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Team Lynx | 61c | 157.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 151.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Team Lynx | 58c | 134.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 76c | 132.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Lynx | 57c | 104.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Lynx | 60c | 101.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 100.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Team Lynx | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Lynx | 26c | 85.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 84.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…646dbacked Team Lynx | 60c | 83.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Team Lynx | 24c | 82.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 75.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Lynx | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Team Lynx | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 39.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 38.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 37.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked Team Lynx | 57c | 26.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Team Lynx | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…672bbacked ex-Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…5c1cbacked Team Lynx | 60c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs ex-Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs ex-Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerex-Pipsqueak+4 won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs ex-Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerex-Pipsqueak+4 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.