Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc14c409e86448143e66c45c81f7ae2a8ae7cd222ef0da297a7d17661277fa65b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 365.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 364.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 31c | 328.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 65c | 307.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 68c | 293.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 35c | 244.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 191.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 65c | 189.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…6a1abacked No | 72c | 163.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 22c | 159.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 30c | 155.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 27c | 148.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 140.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked No | 65c | 112.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 44c | 107.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 70c | 98.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 45c | 98.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 31c | 97.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 79c | 92.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 81.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 80.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 62c | 78.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 64c | 75.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 44c | 64.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…5e41backed No | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 30c | 56.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Yes | 31c | 54.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 30c | 52.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…9571backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 211 | 73.5%155 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 30c | 48.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…696abacked Yes | 23c | 46.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…031dbacked No | 62c | 46.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 31c | 46.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Yes | 31c | 44.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 71c | 42.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 69c | 42.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 31c | 41.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…93abbacked No | 71c | 41.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 32c | 38.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 73c | 37.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7a…b68dbacked Yes | 38c | 37.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…2f2bbacked No | 67c | 35.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 32c | 35.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 66c | 31.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 38c | 31.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 32c | 31.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 67c | 29.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…a13cbacked No | 77c | 29.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 59 | 81.4%48 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 68c | 29.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 69c | 28.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 58c | 27.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…9f2abacked Yes | 42c | 27.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 69c | 27.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 44c | 26.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 77c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 70c | 26.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…4af7backed No | 72c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 72c | 20.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…43f9backed No | 73c | 19.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked No | 69c | 19.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 74c | 19.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 71c | 16.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…2227backed No | 74c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.