Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc18a6fbb5b0084a8b5f8fff9398d7d32711e46d3ef258b5e2db05d8cf16a1852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 71c | 13,274$9,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 9,436$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 3,028$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.44 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 1,721$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.09 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 1,717$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 1,086$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 928.19$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.92 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 75c | 822.36$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.59 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 730.75$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.61 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 553.78$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.94 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 25c | 256.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 76c | 210.41$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 75c | 199.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 174.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 13c | 148.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 36c | 145.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…f1dbbacked Yes | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 59c | 115$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…b863backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 109.84$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 53c | 100.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 85.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 76c | 75.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 29c | 73.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 27c | 64.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 60.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…8b39backed No | 75c | 55.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 76c | 50.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 29c | 43.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 29c | 40.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…25a6backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 67c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 76c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start end in a draw?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-05-29?Yes won
- Will IK Start win on 2026-05-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.