Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b298a60ffe1d3a4c06e1bb23416ef031f0d04e8672f02a6321222984052ddc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 7c | 2,714$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.51 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 48c | 1,878$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.17 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 48c | 688.13$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.91 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 51c | 636$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.48 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 13c | 339.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 220.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 53c | 215$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 15c | 207.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 74c | 189.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 55c | 184$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 52c | 163.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 154.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 28c | 137.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 62c | 106$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 68c | 104.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 52c | 99.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 56c | 98.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 214 | 72%154 W · 60 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 51c | 95.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 90.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…dc55backed Yes | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…29f0backed No | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 28c | 85.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked No | 36c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 45c | 76.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…2ff7backed No | 40c | 74.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…ec3abacked No | 41c | 72.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…8b5ebacked Yes | 58c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…3ee2backed No | 60c | 69.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 33c | 63.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 77c | 62.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 54c | 61.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yes | 55c | 60.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 44c | 59.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 40c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed No | 50c | 53.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -22.3wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 49c | 53.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 51c | 48.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…1ccfbacked Yes | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 48c | 45.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…547dbacked No | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…100abacked Yes | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 71c | 40.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 49c | 40.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 54c | 40.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 54c | 39.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…fccdbacked Yes | 62c | 38.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…e5d4backed No | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked Yes | 72c | 33.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…849cbacked No | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 46c | 32.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 31.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 48c | 31.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 49c | 30.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 50c | 30.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 46c | 28.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked No | 45c | 26.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 257 | 58%149 W · 108 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 55c | 26.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked Yes | 48c | 25.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…c6bebacked No | 45c | 25.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 318 | 66%210 W · 108 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 49c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…a722backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…ce23backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…ea22backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Yes | 59c | 19.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…cd99backed Yes | 72c | 18.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…827bbacked No | 60c | 18.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…7a5dbacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.