Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Aoi Ito
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1d2edea8660171c13ee80d0fff380a08186178020cc033e33f0c6d859fcff81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Antonia Ruzicof Antonia Ruzic, Aoi Ito
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aoi Ito | 13c | 4,069$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.71 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Aoi Ito | 4c | 3,919$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.06 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Aoi Ito | 36c | 1,529$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.89 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Aoi Ito | 15c | 1,368$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Antonia Ruzic | 64c | 1,304$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.55 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Aoi Ito | 8c | 937.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Aoi Ito | 17c | 809.38$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.73 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Aoi Ito | 7c | 682.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Aoi Ito | 10c | 542$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Aoi Ito | 19c | 424.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Aoi Ito | 10c | 382.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Aoi Ito | 11c | 363.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Aoi Ito | 7c | 334.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…9b93backed Aoi Ito | 4c | 333.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Aoi Ito | 19c | 306.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Aoi Ito | 17c | 268.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 579 | 53.7%311 W · 268 L | +19.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Aoi Ito | 19c | 249.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Aoi Ito | 19c | 242.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Aoi Ito | 16c | 222$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Antonia Ruzic | 72c | 191.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Aoi Ito | 20c | 186.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aoi Ito | 8c | 179$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Aoi Ito | 19c | 178.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Aoi Ito | 27c | 176.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aoi Ito | 20c | 141.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Aoi Ito | 28c | 128.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2029…49a3backed Aoi Ito | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Aoi Ito | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Aoi Ito | 10c | 107.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Antonia Ruzic | 73c | 104.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Antonia Ruzic | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Aoi Ito | 19c | 80.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…70a8backed Antonia Ruzic | 73c | 73.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Antonia Ruzic | 80c | 64.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Aoi Ito | 19c | 58.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Aoi Ito | 28c | 56.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Aoi Ito | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…911dbacked Antonia Ruzic | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 326 | 75.2%245 W · 81 L | +20.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Antonia Ruzic | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Antonia Ruzic | 77c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Antonia Ruzic | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Antonia Ruzic | 77c | 13.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.