CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Tricked (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1f5480cebd5b3f56d8d9654e63359f488ccf33e356a1bd2e88cf16c874ca123
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof Young Ninjas, Tricked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Young Ninjas | 39c | 2,937$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.63 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Tricked | 70c | 2,500$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.06 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…a4febacked Tricked | 57c | 2,331$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.42 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Young Ninjas | 44c | 2,271$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.21 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Tricked | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Tricked | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 41c | 1,175$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Young Ninjas | 53c | 1,081$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.57 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Young Ninjas | 46c | 964.14$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.22 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Tricked | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Young Ninjas | 44c | 797.31$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Tricked | 45c | 713.58$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.58 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4235…69cbbacked Tricked | 56c | 554.95$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed Young Ninjas | 43c | 550.51$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…790dbacked Tricked | 56c | 535.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed Young Ninjas | 43c | 531.19$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Tricked | 59c | 497.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Young Ninjas | 26c | 452.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.67 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tricked | 76c | 424.41$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.29 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Young Ninjas | 50c | 421.69$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.51 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Young Ninjas | 52c | 417.26$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.56 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tricked | 47c | 354.42$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…a5a2backed Tricked | 51c | 350.27$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Young Ninjas | 32c | 307.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Young Ninjas | 43c | 277.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Tricked | 7c | 266.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Tricked | 55c | 253.24$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…f362backed Tricked | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Young Ninjas | 35c | 231$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tricked | 49c | 213.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Tricked | 39c | 206.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Young Ninjas | 23c | 205.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tricked | 64c | 204.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Tricked | 62c | 182.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Young Ninjas | 20c | 182.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Tricked | 51c | 158.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Young Ninjas | 18c | 143.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Young Ninjas | 42c | 119.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Young Ninjas | 31c | 114$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…8155backed Tricked | 61c | 102.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Young Ninjas | 26c | 94.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Young Ninjas | 27c | 75.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Young Ninjas | 33c | 70.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Tricked | 74c | 63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Young Ninjas | 34c | 58.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Young Ninjas | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Tricked | 61c | 55.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Tricked | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Young Ninjas | 39c | 51.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Tricked | 53c | 51.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Young Ninjas | 35c | 50.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…cf2dbacked Tricked | 59c | 49.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Young Ninjas | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…b32fbacked Young Ninjas | 42c | 46.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Young Ninjas | 40c | 45.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked | 74c | 45.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Young Ninjas | 42c | 43.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Tricked | 36c | 42.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed Young Ninjas | 68c | 37.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Young Ninjas | 40c | 35.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tricked | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…5cfcbacked Young Ninjas | 50c | 32.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86e…bdfebacked Tricked | 35c | 32.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Tricked | 54c | 29.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Tricked | 70c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed Tricked | 70c | 26.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Tricked | 52c | 22.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Tricked | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed Tricked | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Tricked | 59c | 18.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.