Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc20f758718c758edb3301c6c4d11a2fd5a47d8a70d7a7b7a8aaa6ed82c77ebd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dorado Gamingof Conviction, Dorado Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Conviction | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dorado Gaming | 49c | 5,679$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.4 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Dorado Gaming | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.32 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Dorado Gaming | 49c | 5,065$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.01 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Conviction | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Conviction | 51c | 2,292$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.11 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Conviction | 52c | 828.48$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.52 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Conviction | 54c | 698.52$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Conviction | 52c | 617.87$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.29 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Conviction | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Dorado Gaming | 49c | 548.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.06 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Conviction | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Dorado Gaming | 48c | 357$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Dorado Gaming | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 949 | 48.5%460 W · 489 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6206…00eebacked Conviction | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Dorado Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Dorado Gaming | 49c | 196.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Conviction | 52c | 183$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Dorado Gaming | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Conviction | 51c | 142.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Dorado Gaming | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Conviction | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Conviction | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dorado Gaming | 47c | 81.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Conviction | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Conviction | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Conviction | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Dorado Gaming | 49c | 53.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…aab1backed Dorado Gaming | 49c | 52.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 190 | 45.3%86 W · 104 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Dorado Gaming | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Conviction | 53c | 39.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Conviction | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Dorado Gaming | 56c | 34.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…880abacked Dorado Gaming | 49c | 26.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Dorado Gaming | 49c | 25.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Dorado Gaming | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Conviction | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Conviction | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Conviction | 52c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…1209backed Conviction | 52c | 23.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Conviction | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Conviction | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Conviction | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Conviction | 53c | 19.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Conviction | 54c | 19.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Dorado Gaming | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageDorado Gaming won
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 WinnerDorado Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.