Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab01b9a5672cf090e69caf88ab5b8fca3bdcc0cd325c1f3aa412c7f926cb0f16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Conviction, Dorado Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dorado Gaming | 14c | 9,331$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.42 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Dorado Gaming | 27c | 1,513$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.01 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Conviction | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Dorado Gaming | 31c | 971.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dorado Gaming | 30c | 944.94$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.48 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Conviction | 75c | 872.86$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 414 | 69.3%287 W · 127 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Conviction | 73c | 855.66$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.96 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Conviction | 46c | 663.65$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.45 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Conviction | 65c | 645.51$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dorado Gaming | 27c | 553.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Conviction | 71c | 503.21$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 448 | 51.8%232 W · 216 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Dorado Gaming | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Conviction | 70c | 485.75$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…04d6backed Dorado Gaming | 41c | 470$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.34 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Dorado Gaming | 24c | 468.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Conviction | 71c | 459.29$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Conviction | 69c | 457.03$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 288 | 59%170 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed Dorado Gaming | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Conviction | 79c | 409$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Conviction | 67c | 406$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Dorado Gaming | 30c | 381.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Conviction | 77c | 341.22$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed Conviction | 69c | 289.21$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadba…a6e2backed Conviction | 65c | 288.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed Conviction | 66c | 266.67$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Conviction | 71c | 255.87$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Dorado Gaming | 33c | 240.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Dorado Gaming | 29c | 239.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Dorado Gaming | 31c | 230$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Dorado Gaming | 13c | 228.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Conviction | 68c | 188.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Dorado Gaming | 29c | 188.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Dorado Gaming | 28c | 159.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…418bbacked Conviction | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dorado Gaming | 28c | 151.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed Dorado Gaming | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Dorado Gaming | 33c | 131.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 405 | 49.1%199 W · 206 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Dorado Gaming | 39c | 124$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dorado Gaming | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc14…1d66backed Conviction | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dorado Gaming | 26c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Dorado Gaming | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dorado Gaming | 27c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Conviction | 73c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dorado Gaming | 32c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Conviction | 52c | 79.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed Dorado Gaming | 34c | 73.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Conviction | 68c | 73.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 188 | 63.3%119 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Conviction | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dorado Gaming | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…0ae3backed Dorado Gaming | 28c | 61.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Dorado Gaming | 28c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Conviction | 72c | 43.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dorado Gaming | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Conviction | 57c | 39.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Dorado Gaming | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Conviction | 72c | 36.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Conviction | 74c | 34.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Conviction | 71c | 32.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 465 | 62.4%290 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dorado Gaming | 43c | 29.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Conviction | 74c | 28.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Conviction | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…e4d0backed Conviction | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Conviction | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed Conviction | 74c | 19.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked Conviction | 67c | 16.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Conviction | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f8…1d2fbacked Conviction | 76c | 13.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)Dorado Gaming won
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageDorado Gaming won
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 WinnerDorado Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.