Tennis · resolved market
Sion: Johan Nikles vs Henry Bernet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc255038842da9af36b95142972be61587b004e210296e6081e91217512c32bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henry Bernetof Johan Nikles, Henry Bernet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be6…dc20backed Johan Nikles | 1c | 9,812$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Johan Nikles | 5c | 5,912$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Johan Nikles | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 795 | 38.4%305 W · 490 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Johan Nikles | 6c | 978.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Henry Bernet | 69c | 770.32$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.12 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Henry Bernet | 58c | 689.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.65 | 256 | 39.8%102 W · 154 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Johan Nikles | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Johan Nikles | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Henry Bernet | 66c | 573.7$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 1,800 | 47.2%849 W · 951 L | -45.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Henry Bernet | 71c | 519.33$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 3,359 | 48.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L | -49.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Henry Bernet | 73c | 370$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 1,073 | 57.6%618 W · 455 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Johan Nikles | 7c | 321.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Johan Nikles | 37c | 304$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Henry Bernet | 70c | 281.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Henry Bernet | 70c | 281.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…6735backed Henry Bernet | 70c | 281.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Henry Bernet | 70c | 281.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Henry Bernet | 70c | 281.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Henry Bernet | 70c | 281.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Henry Bernet | 70c | 281.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Henry Bernet | 70c | 281.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Henry Bernet | 70c | 281.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Johan Nikles | 5c | 230.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 644 | 26.2%169 W · 475 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Henry Bernet | 71c | 211$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 325 | 49.5%161 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Johan Nikles | 6c | 191.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 378 | 47.1%178 W · 200 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Johan Nikles | 29c | 186.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 326 | 45.1%147 W · 179 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Henry Bernet | 69c | 181.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Johan Nikles | 30c | 169.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Johan Nikles | 30c | 166.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Johan Nikles | 30c | 162.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 333 | 36.9%123 W · 210 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Henry Bernet | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 490 | 58%284 W · 206 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Johan Nikles | 30c | 131.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Johan Nikles | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Henry Bernet | 79c | 126.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Johan Nikles | 22c | 104.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 594 | 40.7%242 W · 352 L | -24.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Johan Nikles | 36c | 102.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Johan Nikles | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 957 | 45.6%436 W · 521 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Johan Nikles | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,053 | 47.8%982 W · 1,071 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Henry Bernet | 72c | 91.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 376 | 58%218 W · 158 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Henry Bernet | 71c | 67.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 792 | 48.5%384 W · 408 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Henry Bernet | 71c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Henry Bernet | 67c | 50.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 80 | 72.5%58 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Johan Nikles | 30c | 49.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,079 | 54.9%592 W · 487 L | +14.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Johan Nikles | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 720 | 45.3%326 W · 394 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Johan Nikles | 29c | 44.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Henry Bernet | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 318 | 68.9%219 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Johan Nikles | 31c | 41.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Henry Bernet | 73c | 41.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 93 | 77.4%72 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Johan Nikles | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,554 | 36.3%928 W · 1,626 L | -23.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Henry Bernet | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…cf3ebacked Henry Bernet | 70c | 27.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Henry Bernet | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…5e6fbacked Henry Bernet | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Henry Bernet | 71c | 25.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 216 | 66.7%144 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Henry Bernet | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Henry Bernet | 70c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Henry Bernet | 71c | 19.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 90 | 66.7%60 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Henry Bernet | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Henry Bernet | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 159 | 69.8%111 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Henry Bernet | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Henry Bernet | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 450 | 63.6%286 W · 164 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sion: Johan Nikles vs Henry Bernetthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Nikles vs BernetBernet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.