Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ad1a6f2727b3dc7692182a4a11e4cc6ca8228c755ed081a37a6ed6f05f1f9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $340,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 0c | 314,004$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 2,591$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 894.08$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.65 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 73c | 674.81$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.61 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…90dfbacked Under | 70c | 495.49$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 439.71$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.7 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 404.16$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.25 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 25c | 358.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.72 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 14c | 270.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 76c | 234.8$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 75c | 221.75$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 76c | 168.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 66 | 92.4%61 W · 5 L | +17.8wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 87.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 72c | 82.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 54c | 80.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 19c | 58.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 76c | 28.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.