Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Aziz Dougaz vs Tuncay Duran
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2b17c7bc94e0cdb4b973740bedaa651650f68bbf4826df6cdbecedeb61447a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aziz Dougazof Aziz Dougaz, Tuncay Duran
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Aziz Dougaz | 60c | 8,934$5,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.23 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tuncay Duran | 8c | 2,482$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tuncay Duran | 50c | 2,168$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.73 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Tuncay Duran | 46c | 1,547$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.6 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tuncay Duran | 55c | 1,008$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.4 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tuncay Duran | 25c | 376.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Aziz Dougaz | 74c | 317.64$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Tuncay Duran | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Tuncay Duran | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Tuncay Duran | 59c | 157.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tuncay Duran | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Tuncay Duran | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Tuncay Duran | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Tuncay Duran | 55c | 135.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tuncay Duran | 61c | 133$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Tuncay Duran | 55c | 108.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tuncay Duran | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Aziz Dougaz | 65c | 103.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Tuncay Duran | 53c | 94.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Tuncay Duran | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Tuncay Duran | 61c | 74.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Tuncay Duran | 56c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Aziz Dougaz | 46c | 65.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Tuncay Duran | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Tuncay Duran | 62c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Aziz Dougaz | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Tuncay Duran | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Aziz Dougaz | 44c | 37.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Aziz Dougaz | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Tuncay Duran | 44c | 31.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.