Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Lautaro Midon vs Roberto Carballes Baena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2b23d1edb0ecaf512d45929a256510180aa43b877e4f5e6ee2f253c993f38c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roberto Carballes Baenaof Lautaro Midon, Roberto Carballes Baena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lautaro Midon | 8c | 4,552$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.75 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Lautaro Midon | 23c | 799.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 71c | 788.66$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.19 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Lautaro Midon | 35c | 570.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Lautaro Midon | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Lautaro Midon | 29c | 463.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 57c | 433.74$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 78c | 345$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 298$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lautaro Midon | 34c | 287.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 73c | 243.27$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lautaro Midon | 7c | 157.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 66c | 157.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lautaro Midon | 34c | 150.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…1efbbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 66c | 143.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 65c | 126.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Lautaro Midon | 40c | 125.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 67c | 121.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Lautaro Midon | 50c | 119.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Lautaro Midon | 14c | 119.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Lautaro Midon | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Lautaro Midon | 35c | 111.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Lautaro Midon | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lautaro Midon | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lautaro Midon | 15c | 87.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 65c | 73.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lautaro Midon | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Lautaro Midon | 33c | 37.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lautaro Midon | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 65c | 28.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.