Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2e0ad8319c4db928f4834655ec3a2ace716604db1754c4c84142fcb9b6036ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 42c | 1,883$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 58c | 1,883$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 31c | 1,286$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.62 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 691.76$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 33c | 419.08$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 69c | 411.77$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 11c | 372$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 11c | 225.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 69c | 187.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 68c | 168.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed No | 32c | 153.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…1b9bbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 28c | 127.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…c991backed Yes | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 77c | 118.34$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 60c | 114.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9749…db3fbacked Yes | 67c | 105.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 12c | 95.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 33c | 85.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yes | 64c | 76.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 69c | 74.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 55c | 73.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 67c | 53.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 34c | 49.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 67c | 38.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed No | 39c | 33.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Yes | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed No | 38c | 28.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…bad3backed Yes | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 45c | 24.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 67c | 21.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 69c | 14.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco to win the second half?this page
- Haiti to win the second half?No won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.