Tennis · resolved market
Quito: Ignacio Monzon vs Samuel Heredia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc319096a0ad83130cfbd47a8c6833f30a77d9e21e1dfa9462e4b57a0617f646e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samuel Herediaof Ignacio Monzon, Samuel Heredia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ignacio Monzon | 44c | 1,637$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.42 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Samuel Heredia | 70c | 1,415$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.56 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…bd78backed Ignacio Monzon | 17c | 1,273$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ignacio Monzon | 5c | 974.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…33cfbacked Samuel Heredia | 67c | 505$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ignacio Monzon | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Samuel Heredia | 55c | 495.75$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Samuel Heredia | 68c | 472.48$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Samuel Heredia | 58c | 403.45$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Samuel Heredia | 78c | 402.13$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ignacio Monzon | 15c | 399.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Ignacio Monzon | 13c | 365.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Ignacio Monzon | 33c | 316.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Ignacio Monzon | 13c | 287.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ignacio Monzon | 11c | 248$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ignacio Monzon | 22c | 205.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Samuel Heredia | 75c | 195.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…819bbacked Samuel Heredia | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ignacio Monzon | 17c | 183.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Ignacio Monzon | 38c | 177.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Samuel Heredia | 62c | 177.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ignacio Monzon | 43c | 157.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Ignacio Monzon | 45c | 122.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Samuel Heredia | 59c | 116.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Ignacio Monzon | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Ignacio Monzon | 43c | 96.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Ignacio Monzon | 37c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Ignacio Monzon | 21c | 73.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ignacio Monzon | 20c | 72.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Samuel Heredia | 62c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Ignacio Monzon | 20c | 63.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Ignacio Monzon | 36c | 60.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Samuel Heredia | 54c | 57.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ignacio Monzon | 32c | 46.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Samuel Heredia | 78c | 46.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Samuel Heredia | 68c | 43.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Samuel Heredia | 77c | 39.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Samuel Heredia | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ignacio Monzon | 49c | 37.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Samuel Heredia | 54c | 34.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Samuel Heredia | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Samuel Heredia | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Samuel Heredia | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Samuel Heredia | 67c | 29.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…267fbacked Samuel Heredia | 71c | 27.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Samuel Heredia | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quito: Ignacio Monzon vs Samuel Herediathis page
- Set Handicap: Heredia (-1.5) vs Monzon (+1.5)Heredia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.