MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc38085de939e00296d4b12253f4d02e9a49bf8f20e62a139cf2a4aa168d4ce64

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,451 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under	55c	13,256$7,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,274.73	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,803.92	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over	35c	5,654$1,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,683.45	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over	50c	3,610$1,805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,804.97	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under	52c	2,099$1,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.17	121	52.9%64 W · 57 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Under	50c	1,892$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.17	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over	49c	1,224$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.48	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	1,197$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.08	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	51c	1,024$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.24	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	50c	996.98$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.9	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under	50c	839.39$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.51	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over	50c	720.38$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.19	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	44c	526.46$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.77	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	70c	513.11$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.31	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	48c	472.52$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.71	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x452f…9b78backed Over	51c	385.37$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.83	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	51c	362.83$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.33	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over	36c	340.33$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.81	195	42.6%83 W · 112 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over	49c	306.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.12	403	48.4%195 W · 208 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Over	61c	278.36$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.56	718	50.1%360 W · 358 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	48c	249$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.29	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	51c	239.83$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.67	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under	50c	204.85$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.43	655	49.3%323 W · 332 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	732	43.4%318 W · 414 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x666b…6706backed Over	51c	153.41$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.17	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.5wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Over	52c	145.62$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.19	183	56.8%104 W · 79 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	61c	126.58$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.44	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	51c	120$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.8	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	51c	117$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.33	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	16c	105.26$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.84	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	268	60.4%162 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	31c	99.76$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.14	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under	45c	89.13$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.09	746	57.8%431 W · 315 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	49c	81.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.05	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	51c	79.84$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.7	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	50c	74.08$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.08	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	48c	70$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.9	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3255…ffb9backed Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	180	53.9%97 W · 83 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under	53c	59.93$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.72	1,445	50.3%727 W · 718 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	54c	59.77$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.48	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Under	50c	56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.94	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under	50c	56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.73	392	50.3%197 W · 195 L	+18.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x117b…f017backed Under	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-4.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-34%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over	52c	53.22$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.6	619	48.6%301 W · 318 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under	44c	45.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	247	42.9%106 W · 141 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under	63c	44.93$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.31	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under	49c	42.4$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	221	51.6%114 W · 107 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Under	50c	39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.69	234	35%82 W · 152 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	36c	38.97$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.99	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc203…8beebacked Under	68c	36.84$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	132	63.6%84 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	51c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	528	52.1%275 W · 253 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	41c	32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.88	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	40c	32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Under	50c	26.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	145	46.2%67 W · 78 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Under	56c	26.21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69f…ffeebacked Under	46c	26.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	46c	25.76$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	52c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.9	1,865	52%970 W · 895 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a84…b4b0backed Under	50c	24.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	48c	22.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…b01fbacked Under	50c	22.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74c…2413backed Over	56c	20.28$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.84	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	63c	18.89$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.04	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Over	63c	16.82$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.22	95	43.2%41 W · 54 L	-6.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5this page
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota TwinsColorado Rockies won
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-6.5)Minnesota Twins won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event