MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3915ce40cd49e87b0e154aea93e457b6c51a5eaf7df724fc9d01c8e698e620a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 60,334$39,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,529.38 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 29,326$9,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,476.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 12,563$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,860.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 11,561$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,501.09 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 9,614$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.33 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 3,175$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 2,874$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.7 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 2,356$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.76 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,092$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.72 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 1,750$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.2 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 737.24$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.16 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 415.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.87 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 132.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 129$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 129$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6545…3723backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 45.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 42.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 32.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…a18bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 18.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.