Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Samford Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc39bc4b341a15b9bd162ac8e496c364a75a75703eb86888ed9214b3c3cdd271a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samford Bulldogsof Chattanooga Mocs, Samford Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Samford Bulldogs | 48c | 4,258$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Chattanooga Mocs | 57c | 2,122$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samford Bulldogs | 63c | 1,266$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chattanooga Mocs | 47c | 967.61$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.83 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Samford Bulldogs | 43c | 724.5$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.92 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 23c | 624$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Chattanooga Mocs | 50c | 567$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.47 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Chattanooga Mocs | 35c | 477.64$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 43c | 458.38$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chattanooga Mocs | 25c | 370.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Chattanooga Mocs | 34c | 335.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Samford Bulldogs | 60c | 265.74$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chattanooga Mocs | 7c | 217$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Chattanooga Mocs | 41c | 194.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Samford Bulldogs | 70c | 193.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Samford Bulldogs | 57c | 165.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chattanooga Mocs | 58c | 127.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Chattanooga Mocs | 36c | 111.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Samford Bulldogs | 70c | 108$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Chattanooga Mocs | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Chattanooga Mocs | 38c | 99.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Chattanooga Mocs | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked Samford Bulldogs | 66c | 85.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Samford Bulldogs | 61c | 73.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Chattanooga Mocs | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Chattanooga Mocs | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Samford Bulldogs | 60c | 42.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 42c | 42.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Chattanooga Mocs | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Chattanooga Mocs | 37c | 38.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Chattanooga Mocs | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Samford Bulldogs | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Chattanooga Mocs | 44c | 34.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Chattanooga Mocs | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Samford Bulldogs | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Samford Bulldogs | 68c | 23.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chattanooga Mocs | 49c | 22.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Samford Bulldogs | 60c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Samford Bulldogs | 66c | 21.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…91bebacked Samford Bulldogs | 72c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.