Mls · resolved market
D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3a846fffd5a0298c17c935375db7a93bf3e48866b70bd0e2dbbd60088e3c1d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,591$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.32 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 56c | 828$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 814.59$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.54 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 778.23$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.62 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 732.62$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.69 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 551.16$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.71 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 57c | 168.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 45c | 163.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…d454backed Yes | 57c | 94.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 56c | 93.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 55c | 85.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 74.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 55c | 63.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 56c | 43.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 53c | 33.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 33.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 51c | 28.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 45c | 22.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)D.C. United SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.