Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier: Bahamas vs Belize
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c7e8346c14e81d17ee70e865e2d746910ff9221a486e8c807a959bcbd0227f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bahamasof Bahamas, Belize
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Belize | 15c | 3,688$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.13 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Belize | 20c | 1,857$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.64 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Belize | 17c | 1,291$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.07 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Belize | 12c | 917.84$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Belize | 32c | 551.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Belize | 33c | 322.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Belize | 16c | 314.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bahamas | 75c | 313$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Bahamas | 78c | 304.5$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bahamas | 79c | 239$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bahamas | 76c | 214.18$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Bahamas | 72c | 191$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Belize | 19c | 187$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Belize | 10c | 154.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Bahamas | 73c | 150.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Belize | 11c | 147$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Belize | 21c | 143.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Belize | 48c | 109.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Belize | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Belize | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Bahamas | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Belize | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Belize | 20c | 96.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Belize | 15c | 94.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Belize | 18c | 73.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bahamas | 78c | 71.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Bahamas | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Belize | 29c | 67.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Belize | 18c | 56.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Belize | 26c | 53.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Bahamas | 68c | 31.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Bahamas | 53c | 25.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Bahamas | 56c | 18.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Bahamas | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.