Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4bb43d0cbcaac66021910e1d2ef45aaad25d8e2953bafa8f1b674579c7f87a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 5,613$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 6c | 3,844$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.61 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 65c | 1,776$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.36 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 43c | 1,009$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.98 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 806.92$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.91 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 773.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 2c | 683.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 19c | 574.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 43c | 513.95$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 20c | 488.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 57c | 447.37$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 332.85$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.11 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 9c | 322.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 57c | 311.41$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 58c | 285.69$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 57c | 249.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 8c | 236$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 24c | 205.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 42c | 191.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 167.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed No | 15c | 137.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 23c | 128.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 9c | 127.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 58c | 72.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 42c | 41.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 56c | 38.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bd…900dbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…ce4abacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 57c | 33.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 57c | 26.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…dc7cbacked Yes | 58c | 25.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Millwall FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.