Premier League · resolved market
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4c97b6488ea6920fa1afcc9d3dc81790095b7e6938a9111ecb60a2f33d89b66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 7,093$5,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.28 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 26c | 6,750$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 73c | 3,882$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.52 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 37c | 2,864$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.88 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 50c | 2,322$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.73 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 74c | 1,963$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.38 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 1,754$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 1,210$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.4 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 773.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 25c | 752$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 25c | 751.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 62c | 536$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.46 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 74c | 354.26$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 19c | 156$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 8c | 155$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed No | 33c | 136.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 25c | 132.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 72c | 126$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 36c | 121$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Yes | 80c | 107.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…78e1backed Yes | 35c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 60c | 82.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 30c | 77.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 39c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 20c | 66.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 30c | 49.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 74c | 47.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed No | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed No | 36c | 34.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 75c | 33.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 75c | 25.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…c338backed Yes | 69c | 19.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 67c | 19.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…4200backed Yes | 73c | 19.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 63c | 16.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Cardiff City FC vs. Swindon Town FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Swindon Town FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.