NHL · resolved market
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Avangard Omsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc540fbd7327e2836536a9afa5af6a26ded6f918dea5498599a802a1ee6bc914b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSKA Moscowof CSKA Moscow, Avangard Omsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 254.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Avangard Omsk | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Avangard Omsk | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CSKA Moscow | 79c | 183.07$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Avangard Omsk | 49c | 138.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CSKA Moscow | 51c | 118.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CSKA Moscow | 57c | 112.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Avangard Omsk | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Avangard Omsk | 56c | 96.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb3…ffafbacked Avangard Omsk | 31c | 92.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…bdffbacked CSKA Moscow | 58c | 87.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Avangard Omsk | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CSKA Moscow | 67c | 79.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked CSKA Moscow | 67c | 69.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed CSKA Moscow | 66c | 69.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 67.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd8…59bcbacked CSKA Moscow | 53c | 55.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed CSKA Moscow | 56c | 48.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Avangard Omsk | 44c | 43.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ea…1231backed Avangard Omsk | 45c | 40.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbc…3d8abacked Avangard Omsk | 57c | 38.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed CSKA Moscow | 63c | 36.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed CSKA Moscow | 54c | 33.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Avangard Omsk | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Avangard Omsk | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed CSKA Moscow | 73c | 26.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…ac3ebacked Avangard Omsk | 46c | 23.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c1…edbdbacked Avangard Omsk | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…2c96backed CSKA Moscow | 50c | 20.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…4d42backed CSKA Moscow | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.