TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Albany Great Danes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksof Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks, Albany Great Danes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Albany Great Danes51c3,954$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks59c3,562$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.225,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks53c2,839$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.391,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Albany Great Danes50c998.45$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.223,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks39c925.9$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.062,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Albany Great Danes17c518$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.641,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Albany Great Danes61c499.5$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20414151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Albany Great Danes61c365.56$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9982048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Albany Great Danes36c268.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.861,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Albany Great Danes13c244.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.611,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks42c239.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7611028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks75c236.34$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Albany Great Danes30c229.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.932,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks40c210$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Albany Great Danes59c205.34$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks41c166.61$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7442339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Albany Great Danes63c159.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Albany Great Danes58c110.48$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6668254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Albany Great Danes39c106$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6814643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Albany Great Danes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Albany Great Danes25c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1538345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks58c56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.452,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Albany Great Danes45c50.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8519138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Albany Great Danes59c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.762,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Albany Great Danes34c36.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4236942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Albany Great Danes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Albany Great Danes62c32.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8918844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Albany Great Danes59c30.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7557655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Albany Great Danes49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.741,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Albany Great Danes48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6430945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Albany Great Danes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.