Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Petja Drame vs Maria Herazo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5a2911033d656e4aa99e240462aab5a4cbd460898d50f82fd9bd7ace5a8841c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Herazoof Petja Drame, Maria Herazo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Petja Drame | 50c | 2,210$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.72 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14aa…fa9bbacked Maria Herazo | 49c | 2,144$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Herazo | 52c | 882.73$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.34 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7f…b3b9backed Maria Herazo | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Herazo | 66c | 635.47$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.19 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Petja Drame | 52c | 612.26$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.35 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Petja Drame | 49c | 546$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.54 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Petja Drame | 42c | 524.61$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.34 | 389 | 35.7%139 W · 250 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308c…74e8backed Maria Herazo | 48c | 439.58$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.58 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maria Herazo | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Herazo | 64c | 293.23$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Petja Drame | 32c | 232.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Petja Drame | 43c | 156$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7e67backed Maria Herazo | 60c | 145$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Petja Drame | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 277 | 54.5%151 W · 126 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Maria Herazo | 52c | 133.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Maria Herazo | 38c | 133.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Maria Herazo | 48c | 132.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Herazo | 50c | 130.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Maria Herazo | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Petja Drame | 32c | 108.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…3e71backed Petja Drame | 40c | 101.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Petja Drame | 19c | 83.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Maria Herazo | 47c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Herazo | 60c | 64.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Maria Herazo | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 819 | 59.3%486 W · 333 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Maria Herazo | 49c | 59.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Petja Drame | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 421 | 51.1%215 W · 206 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Petja Drame | 51c | 46.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Petja Drame | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Maria Herazo | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Maria Herazo | 55c | 39.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Maria Herazo | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Maria Herazo | 60c | 33.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Maria Herazo | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 443 | 65.9%292 W · 151 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Petja Drame | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Petja Drame | 60c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.