TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BESTIAof BESTIA, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdda0…edaabacked 3DMAX0c13,161$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.162934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed BESTIA51c11,257$5,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,551.8414441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX44c3,881$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.343,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed 3DMAX45c3,103$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.5441850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed 3DMAX27c1,983$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.649646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 3DMAX49c1,868$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.372,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX16c1,773$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.312,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX32c1,769$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.256,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed 3DMAX71c1,768$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.8445058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 3DMAX20c1,318$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.095,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb08…06acbacked 3DMAX75c1,180$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.428351.8%43 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked BESTIA72c1,049$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4719355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed 3DMAX30c995.62$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.821,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed BESTIA44c966.4$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.1851252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed 3DMAX52c930.69$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.6537445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed 3DMAX48c779.83$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.9439248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked 3DMAX65c665.02$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.2113845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked BESTIA32c632.18$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.241,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked BESTIA31c591.33$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.044721.3%10 W · 37 L-8.1wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed 3DMAX36c534.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3217546.3%81 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1f…d634backed BESTIA77c334.33$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.065248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed 3DMAX32c301.13$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9124346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x582a…ae39backed 3DMAX68c288.47$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.167250%36 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed BESTIA36c267.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9529934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed 3DMAX50c239.11$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.265352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 3DMAX23c230.79$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.053,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed 3DMAX54c228.89$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4651755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed BESTIA51c228.38$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.954439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA49c224.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.947,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked BESTIA57c224.03$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.681,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked BESTIA43c210.11$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7884037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 3DMAX42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.62,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked BESTIA42c196.52$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9858343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BESTIA50c185.86$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.054,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked 3DMAX27c173.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8243237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde33…7810backed 3DMAX58c169.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed 3DMAX50c148.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.769635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaabb…9ab8backed 3DMAX55c145.77$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8311650%58 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed BESTIA71c137.75$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.464955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf27e…d69dbacked 3DMAX29c131.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5812050.8%61 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked 3DMAX38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1420549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX36c124.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.555,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed BESTIA48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.484546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed 3DMAX44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4433241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked 3DMAX53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5136151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed BESTIA61c96.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.91,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed 3DMAX27c95.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2163541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked BESTIA51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6325753.7%138 W · 119 L-20.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed 3DMAX59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.11,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked BESTIA41c86.81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.221,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 3DMAX27c85.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.172,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed 3DMAX49c80.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0233452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 3DMAX46c76.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.962,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked BESTIA74c65.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.031,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed BESTIA59c61.86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.152,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked 3DMAX49c61.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9722444.6%100 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed 3DMAX54c60.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9122952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked 3DMAX47c56.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4827556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed 3DMAX44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.161,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec7…8c25backed 3DMAX54c54.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed 3DMAX47c53.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.149376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 3DMAX33c51.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9945224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed 3DMAX44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2264439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1be0…8892backed 3DMAX64c45.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.384951%25 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed BESTIA75c45.05$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed 3DMAX60c40.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4249947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4470…c22ebacked 3DMAX38c38.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.447536%27 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked 3DMAX44c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.436334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked 3DMAX53c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4511148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked 3DMAX44c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9631328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed 3DMAX44c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0836845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed 3DMAX44c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0845240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed 3DMAX44c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0857935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6342…0546backed BESTIA73c31.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.513847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked 3DMAX64c31.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked 3DMAX64c30.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5640148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked BESTIA36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.266753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed 3DMAX59c29.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5652449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked BESTIA63c29.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8547260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked 3DMAX40c29.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5437441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed BESTIA74c26.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9218253.8%98 W · 84 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked BESTIA56c26.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4348948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked BESTIA55c25.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3738858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed BESTIA47c24.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.016949.3%34 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed BESTIA55c23.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5191743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.