Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Justin Engel vs Benjamin Bonzi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6a123b9e459161c8a6fe34337a52fce062df972d06ee65b3d3cd45d66f65335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bonziof Engel, Bonzi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Engel | 30c | 1,142$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.46 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Engel | 23c | 421.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Engel | 11c | 317.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Engel | 16c | 307.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bonzi | 70c | 295.28$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Engel | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Engel | 8c | 232.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…70cebacked Bonzi | 70c | 212.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Bonzi | 73c | 178.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Engel | 29c | 172.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Bonzi | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Bonzi | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Bonzi | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Engel | 14c | 135.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Bonzi | 71c | 103.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Engel | 30c | 91.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Bonzi | 71c | 75.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Bonzi | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Bonzi | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Engel | 27c | 48.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Engel | 32c | 46.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Bonzi | 65c | 38.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Bonzi | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…e69cbacked Bonzi | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…6716backed Bonzi | 71c | 27.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b78…d85fbacked Bonzi | 71c | 25.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf752…9400backed Bonzi | 71c | 22.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432a…2e17backed Bonzi | 71c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Bonzi | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Bonzi | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.