Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f5951aa86695889b1541ea5a9d1d228b4ce431a32c863f6e582b6a2bc7be86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 3c | 2,109$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 1,837$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.28 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 65c | 903$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 902.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 36c | 700.57$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.04 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 35c | 689.43$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.57 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 544.83$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.73 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 541.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 523.96$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 491.34$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 49c | 442$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.58 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 360.23$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 50c | 296.23$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 42c | 252.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 70c | 210$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 61c | 188.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3f…3706backed Yes | 7c | 154.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 39c | 153.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 36c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 115$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 83.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 33c | 81.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 32c | 58.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes | 34c | 57.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked No | 63c | 36.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 66c | 25.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked No | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 20.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 15.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.