CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc70914fec4984fb95b10bcb82abf95bd7d8291fbc48e8e58a708fbe5da76afae

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, Keyd
Resolved: May 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $48,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,809 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	79c	3,811$2,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.74	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Keyd	2c	2,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	62	0%0 W · 62 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Keyd	2c	2,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Keyd	2c	2,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	108	0.9%1 W · 107 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Keyd	2c	2,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	75	1.3%1 W · 74 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Keyd	2c	2,450$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	194	3.6%7 W · 187 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Keyd	2c	2,100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	215	0.9%2 W · 213 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Keyd	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	197	3.6%7 W · 190 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd	25c	1,087$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.02	1,088	54.2%590 W · 498 L	+39.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Keyd	2c	900$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+67.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Keyd	9c	842$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.51	363	34.2%124 W · 239 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Keyd	32c	732.56$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.19	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd	12c	710.76$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.96	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bounty Hunters Esports	55c	630.32$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.2	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Keyd	7c	623$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.98	90	20%18 W · 72 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Keyd	51c	607.95$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.48	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Keyd	11c	600$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.43	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bounty Hunters Esports	76c	585$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.13	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Keyd	4c	543$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.72	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Keyd	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	217	39.2%85 W · 132 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Keyd	9c	426$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.2	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Bounty Hunters Esports	79c	345$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.65	177	59.9%106 W · 71 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Keyd	4c	339$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Keyd	9c	333$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.97	579	35.1%203 W · 376 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Keyd	7c	324$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.11	223	24.7%55 W · 168 L	-21.2wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	75c	281$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.84	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd6…9d99backed Keyd	48c	266.16$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.23	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Keyd	28c	255$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.29	447	48.1%215 W · 232 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd	32c	254$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.35	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Keyd	21c	241.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Bounty Hunters Esports	66c	227.27$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.27	203	44.3%90 W · 113 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed Keyd	22c	218.04$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.21	133	32.3%43 W · 90 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd	20c	208$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.94	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Bounty Hunters Esports	62c	200.04$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.31	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Keyd	31c	190.75$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.72	79	44.3%35 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Keyd	14c	170.25$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.08	293	47.8%140 W · 153 L	+13.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x771c…f790backed Bounty Hunters Esports	78c	153.98$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.51	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Bounty Hunters Esports	62c	147.85$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.85	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Bounty Hunters Esports	67c	145.51$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.1	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports	61c	116.55$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.19	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Keyd	44c	113.85$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	351	48.1%169 W · 182 L	-13.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd	36c	113.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.38	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	57c	112.28$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.28	137	53.3%73 W · 64 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Bounty Hunters Esports	75c	105.63$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.43	559	50.3%281 W · 278 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Keyd	20c	100.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	107	25.2%27 W · 80 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-37%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Keyd	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	133	24.8%33 W · 100 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Keyd	21c	90$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	644	39.8%256 W · 388 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Bounty Hunters Esports	76c	88$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.9	172	30.8%53 W · 119 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	63c	86.5$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.6	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Keyd	31c	86.03$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.38	917	43.7%401 W · 516 L	-35.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	58c	85.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.4	1,398	48.4%676 W · 722 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Keyd	29c	75.71$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	131	42%55 W · 76 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f4…9bf7backed Keyd	20c	64.29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Keyd	26c	63.82$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.84	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	-33.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Keyd	19c	55$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	1,304	26.5%345 W · 959 L	-89.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Keyd	61c	52.25$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.12	1,365	66.3%905 W · 460 L	+76.1wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc9…e4afbacked Keyd	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Bounty Hunters Esports	53c	30.19$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.19	1,046	45%471 W · 575 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Bounty Hunters Esports	68c	29.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.49	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports	60c	29.08$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.63	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports	55c	27.6$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-5.2wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Bounty Hunters Esports	80c	27.09$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.45	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 PlayoffsBounty Hunters Esports won
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event