CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0dc4e1ed5252ef799727760c22171bc03317586a19c05b493a6140b323ce77f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Bounty Hunters Esports, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 51c | 3,898$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.42 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 35c | 2,556$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.16 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 1,778$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.19 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Keyd | 60c | 1,438$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.83 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keyd | 44c | 1,388$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.54 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 1,335$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.14 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 39c | 1,040$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.63 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 604.11$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed Keyd | 46c | 431.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.66 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 385.47$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.91 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Keyd | 56c | 356.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Keyd | 51c | 292.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 55c | 261$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 38c | 205.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd | 66c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 24c | 164.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd | 47c | 164.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Keyd | 62c | 159.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 156.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 52c | 154.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 147.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 140.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 131.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 39c | 119.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Keyd | 32c | 115$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Keyd | 48c | 110.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 108.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 33c | 108.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 26c | 108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Keyd | 35c | 95.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 95.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 85.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Keyd | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…6194backed Keyd | 55c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Keyd | 57c | 67.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Keyd | 43c | 59.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Keyd | 44c | 55.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Keyd | 72c | 47.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 37.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Keyd | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 PlayoffsBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.