Tennis · resolved market
Tenerife 2: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Lloyd Harris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc76076d8c3c4bcf7536ef51362319d6c919787fcbdfab2ccd1ad1ef06d42bf73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harrisof Ruiz, Harris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ruiz | 17c | 1,274$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.64 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Ruiz | 17c | 999$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ruiz | 30c | 795.47$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Harris | 79c | 631.15$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…a748backed Ruiz | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Harris | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Ruiz | 21c | 457.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Ruiz | 14c | 328.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Harris | 60c | 281.89$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ruiz | 20c | 272.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Harris | 62c | 243.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Ruiz | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Ruiz | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Harris | 73c | 199.63$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Ruiz | 41c | 166.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Harris | 63c | 157.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Harris | 64c | 157.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Ruiz | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Harris | 64c | 140.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Harris | 69c | 138.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Ruiz | 37c | 132.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ruiz | 32c | 129.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ruiz | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ruiz | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ruiz | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ruiz | 36c | 54.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ruiz | 31c | 52.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Harris | 66c | 50.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ruiz | 24c | 49.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Harris | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Ruiz | 39c | 32.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Harris | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Ruiz | 40c | 30.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ruiz | 38c | 28.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Harris | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c44backed Harris | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Harris | 62c | 19.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Harris | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Harris | 79c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Harris | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.