Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7bede40779c4869458f8abce628d4374d93abff39002941edad3cfb12f33282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 65c | 3,096$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.05 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Over | 34c | 2,823$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.41 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 39c | 1,962$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.37 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 35c | 1,830$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.36 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 66c | 1,200$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 66c | 1,000$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 36c | 711.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.13 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 39c | 655$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.45 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…ee87backed Over | 38c | 546.89$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.57 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 61c | 542$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.58 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 497.17$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Over | 39c | 440.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 61c | 430.66$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Under | 49c | 399.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 52c | 279.43$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 53c | 228.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 208.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Over | 48c | 204.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 24c | 196.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 34c | 180.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 63c | 171.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Over | 35c | 123.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Under | 59c | 114.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 102.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Under | 62c | 91.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 27c | 85.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Over | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 42c | 66.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 51.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 53c | 51.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 67c | 42.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 62c | 41.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 75c | 37.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 69c | 35.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 38c | 33.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…ad64backed Under | 53c | 30.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 75c | 23.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Shifters won
- Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)GIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.