NHL · resolved market
AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. San Diego Gulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc82ba6b531a362f678f5d83c170f00b048144c01fa55514c8bcbc17f1b934576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tucson Roadrunnersof Tucson Roadrunners, San Diego Gulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x350a…7991backed San Diego Gulls | 5c | 7,120$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c2…f627backed Tucson Roadrunners | 51c | 6,602$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed San Diego Gulls | 51c | 1,986$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.24 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked San Diego Gulls | 55c | 1,661$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.63 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…dd84backed Tucson Roadrunners | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155f…6e6bbacked San Diego Gulls | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tucson Roadrunners | 49c | 880.31$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.7 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed San Diego Gulls | 51c | 799.37$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.64 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Tucson Roadrunners | 45c | 738.53$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.19 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 700$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Tucson Roadrunners | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…0ce3backed Tucson Roadrunners | 7c | 353$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Tucson Roadrunners | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Tucson Roadrunners | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…a930backed Tucson Roadrunners | 49c | 224$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…3564backed San Diego Gulls | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053b…b6b1backed Tucson Roadrunners | 48c | 220$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…9f5fbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…78bfbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 48c | 214$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146b…9f25backed San Diego Gulls | 52c | 214$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Tucson Roadrunners | 45c | 201.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 201.28$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked San Diego Gulls | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…2cfbbacked San Diego Gulls | 50c | 110.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c585backed Tucson Roadrunners | 51c | 110.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed San Diego Gulls | 48c | 107.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Tucson Roadrunners | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Tucson Roadrunners | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed San Diego Gulls | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed San Diego Gulls | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tucson Roadrunners | 29c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…b528backed San Diego Gulls | 49c | 38.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…57c0backed Tucson Roadrunners | 52c | 35.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed San Diego Gulls | 71c | 31.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed San Diego Gulls | 49c | 28.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…59d5backed Tucson Roadrunners | 52c | 27.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa9…335cbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 52c | 26.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Diego Gulls | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…b8fabacked San Diego Gulls | 50c | 24.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…5348backed San Diego Gulls | 49c | 23.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273a…f8f5backed San Diego Gulls | 50c | 20.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed San Diego Gulls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.