Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Raphael Perot vs Jack Loge
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc868dc76f24a9b622aeb8d87b71a8c2eeadc089e40f1033fb53a375bbc5c35cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raphael Perotof Raphael Perot, Jack Loge
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Jack Loge | 16c | 604.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Raphael Perot | 69c | 600$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.47 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jack Loge | 27c | 457.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Jack Loge | 44c | 369.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.86 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Jack Loge | 21c | 234.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jack Loge | 18c | 186.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Raphael Perot | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Raphael Perot | 44c | 163.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raphael Perot | 76c | 160.77$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raphael Perot | 71c | 160.55$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Jack Loge | 41c | 160.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Jack Loge | 33c | 144.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Jack Loge | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Raphael Perot | 74c | 133.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Raphael Perot | 64c | 131.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jack Loge | 48c | 127.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Jack Loge | 46c | 118.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Raphael Perot | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Raphael Perot | 30c | 93.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Raphael Perot | 75c | 92.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Jack Loge | 32c | 87.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Raphael Perot | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Jack Loge | 24c | 62.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raphael Perot | 20c | 60.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jack Loge | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Jack Loge | 33c | 59.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Raphael Perot | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jack Loge | 46c | 51.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Raphael Perot | 63c | 34.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Jack Loge | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…5cccbacked Jack Loge | 37c | 27.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Raphael Perot | 64c | 26.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Raphael Perot | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Raphael Perot | 62c | 18.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.