Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Nadia Podoroska vs Marta Kostyuk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8dd0840d2891da4543666fd151a2cd0fd830b0066f4939f8a37269215a3404f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marta Kostyukof Nadia Podoroska, Marta Kostyuk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nadia Podoroska | 3c | 7,270$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.09 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Nadia Podoroska | 5c | 5,845$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.51 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Nadia Podoroska | 4c | 5,035$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.41 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Nadia Podoroska | 4c | 3,652$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.02 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Nadia Podoroska | 4c | 3,642$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8787…da0abacked Nadia Podoroska | 3c | 3,226$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Nadia Podoroska | 5c | 1,853$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Nadia Podoroska | 3c | 1,364$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nadia Podoroska | 6c | 1,227$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Nadia Podoroska | 5c | 1,004$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Nadia Podoroska | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nadia Podoroska | 3c | 842.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Nadia Podoroska | 8c | 609.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nadia Podoroska | 3c | 427.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Nadia Podoroska | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Nadia Podoroska | 4c | 391.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Nadia Podoroska | 3c | 380.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…1702backed Nadia Podoroska | 3c | 310.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…f6dfbacked Nadia Podoroska | 8c | 224.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.