Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc97fa2ee8ea67338e0f1fbd0801c994f722066556539293fd427e33a8bab520c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof 4ikibamboni, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Power Rangers | 66c | 4,211$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.02 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Power Rangers | 60c | 4,133$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.1 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked 4ikibamboni | 42c | 2,779$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.16 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed 4ikibamboni | 41c | 2,774$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.81 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Power Rangers | 71c | 1,892$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.63 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 1,500$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.99 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Power Rangers | 49c | 757.54$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.74 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Power Rangers | 49c | 737.49$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.72 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked 4ikibamboni | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked 4ikibamboni | 31c | 600$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.95 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed 4ikibamboni | 35c | 572.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 63c | 377.79$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked 4ikibamboni | 35c | 350$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed 4ikibamboni | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 68c | 270.59$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 4ikibamboni | 36c | 249.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…da36backed 4ikibamboni | 42c | 229.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers | 71c | 200.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Power Rangers | 67c | 196$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 4ikibamboni | 23c | 189.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 55c | 184.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe296…046ebacked Power Rangers | 68c | 147.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked 4ikibamboni | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Power Rangers | 49c | 122.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 117.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked 4ikibamboni | 46c | 106.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Power Rangers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked 4ikibamboni | 33c | 93.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed 4ikibamboni | 26c | 90.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Power Rangers | 67c | 86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Power Rangers | 63c | 80.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 4ikibamboni | 31c | 76.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Power Rangers | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Power Rangers | 65c | 58.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked 4ikibamboni | 39c | 55.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed 4ikibamboni | 31c | 47.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Power Rangers | 63c | 45.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Power Rangers | 60c | 43.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Power Rangers | 35c | 41.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Power Rangers | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Power Rangers | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Power Rangers | 51c | 39.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Power Rangers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 545 | 48.4%264 W · 281 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Power Rangers | 51c | 38.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…c8c6backed Power Rangers | 65c | 30.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Power Rangers | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 27.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…6a66backed 4ikibamboni | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Power Rangers | 61c | 21.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Power Rangers | 65c | 21.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…5146backed Power Rangers | 64c | 20.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 253 | 56.5%143 W · 110 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Power Rangers | 63c | 20.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Power Rangers | 76c | 18.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B4ikibamboni won
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner4ikibamboni won
- Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.