TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
4ikibamboniof 4ikibamboni, Power Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,778 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd06c…cdafbacked 4ikibamboni35c12,268$4,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,971.411,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Power Rangers64c9,333$5,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,956.4477256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Power Rangers61c4,792$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.0271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Power Rangers64c3,514$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.41,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 4ikibamboni43c1,469$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.152,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked 4ikibamboni36c1,069$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.3332756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Power Rangers59c844.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.458258.5%48 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 4ikibamboni40c600$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.51,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked 4ikibamboni36c597$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.4454058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked 4ikibamboni40c596.55$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.4235960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Power Rangers59c500.34$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29528145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Power Rangers57c500$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.358356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked 4ikibamboni33c429$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4329047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Power Rangers63c419.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.598847.7%42 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked 4ikibamboni48c396.51$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8548053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe296…046ebacked 4ikibamboni37c332.43$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 4ikibamboni46c322.31$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.051,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Power Rangers54c322.31$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0519458.8%114 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed 4ikibamboni33c239.92$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7547646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers62c238.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.772,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 4ikibamboni48c218.18$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.471,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed 4ikibamboni71c215.96$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.967733.8%26 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed 4ikibamboni54c215.73$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7848057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed 4ikibamboni46c206.76$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6534561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Power Rangers43c197.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.114943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed Power Rangers29c188$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.522839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed 4ikibamboni71c184.56$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.996245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Power Rangers46c143.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9378516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Power Rangers51c137.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9954648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Power Rangers75c120$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.937655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Power Rangers59c115.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.258850%44 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Power Rangers47c111.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.591553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Power Rangers31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314040%16 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Power Rangers52c93.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9981345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Power Rangers40c74.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5621344.1%94 W · 119 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf456…3855backed 4ikibamboni35c70.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8317337.6%65 W · 108 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked 4ikibamboni30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4931052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd32…dc31backed Power Rangers55c69.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed 4ikibamboni33c56.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9838244.5%170 W · 212 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Power Rangers70c55.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.985642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5c1…258dbacked Power Rangers30c55.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Power Rangers74c52.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5915551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Power Rangers47c46.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.656149.2%30 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4c…c8c6backed 4ikibamboni44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.458050%40 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Power Rangers65c38.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.839658.3%56 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Power Rangers31c35.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.874337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed 4ikibamboni35c29.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4927357.1%156 W · 117 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b32…5146backed 4ikibamboni47c29.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7925356.5%143 W · 110 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 4ikibamboni66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.566545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Power Rangers67c22.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x120e…6850backed Power Rangers60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed Power Rangers68c19.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312150.4%61 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.