Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. George Mason Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca557ebe905a95920373023a2e9142d8e77e2d2ea6dd72f2699b1b8b625399d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- George Mason Patriotsof Saint Joseph's Hawks, George Mason Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked George Mason Patriots | 76c | 5,582$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.27 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 24c | 4,556$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 24c | 3,284$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked George Mason Patriots | 73c | 2,668$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.36 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 19c | 1,861$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.77 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed George Mason Patriots | 54c | 558.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 39c | 537.24$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.22 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed George Mason Patriots | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 29c | 309.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 32c | 272.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed George Mason Patriots | 73c | 233$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 38c | 228.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed George Mason Patriots | 57c | 210$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed George Mason Patriots | 64c | 156.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed George Mason Patriots | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 41c | 118.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 25c | 109.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed George Mason Patriots | 49c | 97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked George Mason Patriots | 72c | 87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed George Mason Patriots | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 31c | 73.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 24c | 67.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed George Mason Patriots | 75c | 63.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed George Mason Patriots | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed George Mason Patriots | 76c | 60.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked George Mason Patriots | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 37c | 54.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed George Mason Patriots | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked George Mason Patriots | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed George Mason Patriots | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed George Mason Patriots | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed George Mason Patriots | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. George Mason Patriotsthis page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 139.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.