Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. John's Red Storm vs. Creighton Bluejays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca9854811fac5615f0803c1ce6d14ce3dc1e65c60c84e753de2e07e2178d4c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Creighton Bluejays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 4,656$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.01 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. John's Red Storm | 74c | 3,776$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 3,381$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.3 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…61f2backed Creighton Bluejays | 25c | 2,774$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 2,556$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.67 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Creighton Bluejays | 52c | 1,898$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.96 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 1,621$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 1,224$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.18 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 55c | 1,023$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.04 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 723$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.81 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 450$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 381.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.76 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed St. John's Red Storm | 56c | 377$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Creighton Bluejays | 52c | 366.34$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 301.07$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 300.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed St. John's Red Storm | 58c | 280$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed St. John's Red Storm | 55c | 265.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 230$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 61c | 194.1$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 187.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Creighton Bluejays | 52c | 182$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed St. John's Red Storm | 57c | 178$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 173.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Creighton Bluejays | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 44c | 122.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. John's Red Storm | 58c | 116.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…b807backed Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 105.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Creighton Bluejays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Creighton Bluejays | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked St. John's Red Storm | 57c | 92.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Creighton Bluejays | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Creighton Bluejays | 38c | 65.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Creighton Bluejays | 39c | 63.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 55.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Creighton Bluejays | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 27.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed St. John's Red Storm | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…fb93backed St. John's Red Storm | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Creighton Bluejaysthis page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-1.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 153.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 154.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.