CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs DXA Esports (BO1) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcad4ef3e6fb821783b142d20ca7d60beed0a344e76e4ec0dca5d27c78916c5d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, DXA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61f6…e497backed DXA Esports | 5c | 5,907$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.66 | 333 | 27.9%93 W · 240 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed DXA Esports | 7c | 2,988$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.63 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed DXA Esports | 5c | 2,707$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DXA Esports | 6c | 2,442$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked DXA Esports | 6c | 1,901$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked DXA Esports | 9c | 1,407$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed DXA Esports | 4c | 1,125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed DXA Esports | 8c | 1,070$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked DXA Esports | 3c | 608.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed DXA Esports | 9c | 506.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked DXA Esports | 4c | 491.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed DXA Esports | 7c | 420$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked DXA Esports | 7c | 414$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 163 | 11.7%19 W · 144 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa01a…3aeebacked DXA Esports | 8c | 401.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked DXA Esports | 6c | 373.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked DXA Esports | 7c | 339$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed DXA Esports | 5c | 303.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked DXA Esports | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed DXA Esports | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…36ffbacked DXA Esports | 9c | 299.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +511.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked DXA Esports | 7c | 284$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…45d6backed DXA Esports | 8c | 253.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked DXA Esports | 10c | 242.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…7a58backed DXA Esports | 10c | 242.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked DXA Esports | 8c | 187.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DXA Esports | 9c | 179.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed DXA Esports | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.