Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbb8d8649de8a3dc2d43e6fb856d32b39693e25b1f487cce199f9d7a801e82db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bohemian FCof FC Midtjylland, Bohemian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC Midtjylland | 43c | 7,447$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.7 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bohemian FC | 60c | 1,932$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.46 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bohemian FC | 60c | 1,095$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.41 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bohemian FC | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Bohemian FC | 61c | 973.05$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.39 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bohemian FC | 41c | 744.53$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.27 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Bohemian FC | 59c | 736$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.76 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Bohemian FC | 61c | 402.56$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bohemian FC | 72c | 333$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FC Midtjylland | 39c | 261.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Bohemian FC | 60c | 245.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bohemian FC | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Bohemian FC | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Bohemian FC | 61c | 100.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bohemian FC | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Bohemian FC | 62c | 81.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bohemian FC | 73c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Bohemian FC | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed FC Midtjylland | 45c | 58.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bohemian FC | 59c | 51.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cd…f455backed Bohemian FC | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Bohemian FC | 59c | 45.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bohemian FC | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bohemian FC | 76c | 40.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked FC Midtjylland | 45c | 37.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Midtjylland | 38c | 36.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bohemian FC | 61c | 33.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Bohemian FC | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Bohemian FC | 60c | 26.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Bohemian FC | 61c | 25.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed FC Midtjylland | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Bohemian FC | 63c | 18.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Bohemian FC | 60c | 18.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Bohemian FC | 61c | 17.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)this page
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: Bohemian FC O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: Bohemian FC O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: Bohemian FC O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: Team to AdvanceFC Midtjylland won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Bohemian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.