TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Cleveland Guardians, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,023 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd942…f9d3backed Cleveland Guardians44c2,345$1,035 inLost-$1,035.4212452.4%65 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels56c1,830$1,025 inWon+$805.21,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels55c799.01$439 inWon+$359.553,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Cleveland Guardians45c444.44$200 inLost-$20015143%65 W · 86 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians9c444.44$40 inLost-$4010,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels60c261.26$158 inWon+$103.669,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Cleveland Guardians42c238.66$100 inLost-$10048445.9%222 W · 262 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians40c188.43$75 inLost-$75.3711,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians17c134.38$23 inLost-$22.843,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Los Angeles Angels55c89.7$49 inWon+$40.3642548.2%205 W · 220 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians44c83.54$37 inLost-$36.952,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Angels62c79.68$50 inWon+$30.152,09351.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L+44.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians45c68.57$31 inLost-$30.868,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Los Angeles Angels56c67.78$38 inWon+$29.8267152.5%352 W · 319 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Cleveland Guardians44c56.82$25 inLost-$2542849.1%210 W · 218 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels56c50$28 inWon+$222,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…02f0backed Los Angeles Angels55c35.01$19 inWon+$15.753342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels56c30.62$17 inWon+$13.472,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Cleveland Guardians39c30$12 inLost-$11.78252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Cleveland Guardians44c29.99$13 inLost-$13.239049%191 W · 199 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Los Angeles Angels56c20$11 inWon+$8.890669.9%633 W · 273 L+94.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.