TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TrafficPills Esports vs TheBoys - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TrafficPills Esportsof TrafficPills Esports, TheBoys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,338 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdced…c799backed TrafficPills Esports51c19,740$10,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,606.253571.4%25 W · 10 L+7.3wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x637b…948bbacked TheBoys52c5,983$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.717364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4c6…ca73backed TrafficPills Esports79c5,438$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked TrafficPills Esports48c4,496$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.2543951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked TheBoys30c4,453$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.013,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed TheBoys44c4,221$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.141050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked TheBoys12c4,050$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3843152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TheBoys28c3,848$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.965,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97a4…5c48backed TheBoys54c3,627$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed TrafficPills Esports47c3,119$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.254151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked TheBoys38c2,500$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.283,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2f9…cfd8backed TheBoys51c2,306$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.66643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed TrafficPills Esports47c2,101$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.224746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked TheBoys25c1,720$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.872,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TheBoys62c1,661$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.977,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked TrafficPills Esports67c1,589$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.661,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed TheBoys59c999$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.8524551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed TheBoys21c993$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.961,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed TheBoys52c919.29$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3613352.6%70 W · 63 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked TheBoys43c915.38$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.659341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked TheBoys59c770.99$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.8692456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked TheBoys30c763.42$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.342,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed TheBoys43c743$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.122,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked TheBoys23c727.65$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.064,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed TheBoys22c636.07$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8466436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12bf…41f2backed TrafficPills Esports40c619$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed TheBoys26c600$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15410441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed TheBoys3c574.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.261,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed TheBoys60c548$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.85749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed TheBoys64c534.25$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6689046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked TrafficPills Esports41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2958545.9%39 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd7…f2c8backed TheBoys23c455.03$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.12425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x451f…34d8backed TheBoys44c444.02$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b0…cdf7backed TheBoys26c442.49$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed TheBoys22c436.27$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.728540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed TheBoys47c426$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2235153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed TheBoys60c422.88$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5375438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked TheBoys56c420.35$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.463038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed TheBoys44c380.72$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.682,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeba1…838bbacked TheBoys58c374.21$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2610350.5%52 W · 51 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked TrafficPills Esports51c361.79$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3731845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed TrafficPills Esports37c355.12$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0321850.9%111 W · 107 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb84…21a7backed TheBoys40c337.48$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed TheBoys66c332$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.6645754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked TheBoys61c305.68$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.321,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked TheBoys17c293.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TheBoys33c290.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.384,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bb…6538backed TheBoys56c289.53$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed TheBoys59c261.97$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8512948.1%62 W · 67 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed TheBoys47c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.533048.8%161 W · 169 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked TheBoys18c242$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.611,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa905…d42fbacked TheBoys55c224.78$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked TheBoys58c203.05$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.452,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed TheBoys26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed TheBoys55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11033146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked TheBoys45c184.87$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.321,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked TheBoys59c171$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.382,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked TheBoys62c169.01$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9613751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed TheBoys68c168$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9921251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb71f…043ebacked TheBoys39c167.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.33745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked TrafficPills Esports44c161.75$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3411460.5%69 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked TheBoys55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8822257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed TheBoys8c154.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91539.4%5 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-76.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed TheBoys68c147.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1440857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked TrafficPills Esports65c139.73$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3730450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked TheBoys28c130.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1410947.7%52 W · 57 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6ec…04e4backed TheBoys65c125.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked TheBoys60c117.07$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.661,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5822…8dbebacked TrafficPills Esports41c113.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked TheBoys54c112.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9918647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked TheBoys34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3415044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked TrafficPills Esports34c95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.72,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked TheBoys68c93.72$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7342255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked TheBoys66c92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1327156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed TrafficPills Esports52c85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.849143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f80…2163backed TrafficPills Esports48c82.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb3…4f1dbacked TrafficPills Esports44c75.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+63.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked TrafficPills Esports65c68.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7520147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed TheBoys31c68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.089533.7%32 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked TheBoys67c64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6813060.8%79 W · 51 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed TheBoys50c56.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4265546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed TheBoys68c51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6351446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed TheBoys68c44.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed TheBoys54c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2217044.1%75 W · 95 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f9…7d44backed TrafficPills Esports50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed TheBoys67c37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7947856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked TheBoys67c35.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.214864.6%31 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked TheBoys52c32.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.059549.5%47 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked TheBoys59c31.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.863,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked TrafficPills Esports76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.230349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed TheBoys67c26.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1836856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed TheBoys62c26.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.256547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed TheBoys46c22.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3777146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked TrafficPills Esports48c21.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0185054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac71…f74cbacked TrafficPills Esports76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.848737.9%33 W · 54 L-15.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-37.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed TheBoys68c16.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1516361.3%100 W · 63 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed TheBoys68c15.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5141853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x337a…b913backed TheBoys68c14.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.111471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.