MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd21f2596655b1df8b060db456e8380d2298805e4545f33504ddb0d8a0c38eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof SSG Landers, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed SSG Landers | 49c | 1,973$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.71 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed NC Dinos | 53c | 1,488$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.67 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed NC Dinos | 51c | 1,060$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.46 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SSG Landers | 9c | 1,044$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSG Landers | 47c | 941.93$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.66 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 10c | 519.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 71c | 302$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed NC Dinos | 50c | 301.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…000cbacked NC Dinos | 51c | 259.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked SSG Landers | 11c | 250.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 7c | 244.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SSG Landers | 37c | 203$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed SSG Landers | 50c | 144.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…a00dbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 134.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SSG Landers | 47c | 93.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed SSG Landers | 50c | 89.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 15c | 82.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed NC Dinos | 50c | 63.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked SSG Landers | 52c | 50.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed NC Dinos | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 50c | 32.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 78c | 28.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked SSG Landers | 51c | 27.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed SSG Landers | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked SSG Landers | 47c | 24.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 51c | 24.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…96c3backed NC Dinos | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…1501backed SSG Landers | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…1b38backed SSG Landers | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…a0a2backed NC Dinos | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…722ebacked SSG Landers | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…8edbbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked SSG Landers | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.